Royals at Reds
Last play · Jonathan India pops out to second baseman Adam Frazier.
Win probability
Reds0%
KC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 4 – 0 CIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Reds favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dairon Blanco homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 5) — -16% Royals
9Vinnie Pasquantino singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Maikel Garcia scores. Bobby Witt Jr. to 2nd.8–1
9Bobby Witt Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Kyle Isbel scores. Maikel Garcia to 3rd.7–1
9Kyle Isbel doubles (8) on a ground ball to second baseman Jonathan India, deflected by first baseman Ty France. Adam Frazier scores. MJ Melendez to 3rd.6–1
9MJ Melendez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Stuart Fairchild. Freddy Fermin scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd.5–1
7Jonathan India walks. Santiago Espinal scores. Ty France to 3rd. Luke Maile to 2nd.4–1
5Vinnie Pasquantino out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Maikel Garcia scores.4–0
5Dairon Blanco homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.3–0
3Salvador Perez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
