Royals at Reds
Last play · Luke Maile grounds out, third baseman Paul DeJong to first baseman Garrett Hampson.
Win probability
Reds0%
KC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 13 – 0 CIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Reds favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dairon Blanco homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Freddy Fermin scores. (inning 2) — -18% Royals
7Jeimer Candelario homers (20) on a fly ball to left field.13–1
5Paul DeJong reaches on a fielding error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.13–0
4Maikel Garcia out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Spencer Steer. Garrett Hampson scores.12–0
4Dairon Blanco singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Freddy Fermin scores. Garrett Hampson to 3rd.11–0
3Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (27) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Fraley. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.10–0
3Dairon Blanco hits a grand slam (3) to left center field. Hunter Renfroe scores. Freddy Fermin scores. Paul DeJong scores.9–0
3Paul DeJong singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Salvador Perez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd. Freddy Fermin to 2nd.5–0
3Freddy Fermin walks. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez to 3rd. Hunter Renfroe to 2nd.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
