Royals at Reds
Last play · Jeimer Candelario strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Reds0%
KC 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 0 CIN
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Reds favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Salvador Perez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd. (inning 6) — -15% Royals
9Vinnie Pasquantino homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. Freddy Fermin scores. Bobby Witt Jr. scores.7–1
9Freddy Fermin doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Spencer Steer. Dairon Blanco scores.4–1
6Tyler Stephenson doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Jonathan India scores.3–1
6Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to right fielder Will Benson. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. MJ Melendez to 2nd.3–0
6Salvador Perez singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino to 2nd.2–0
4Bobby Witt Jr. homers (25) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
