Cardinals at Reds
Last play · Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Jeimer Candelario.
Win probability
Reds100%
STL 0%CIN 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 0 – 2 CIN
Reds led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Reds favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 2) — +15% Reds
7Nolan Arenado homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.1–4
6Jeimer Candelario homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. TJ Friedl scores.0–4
2Ty France homers (11) on a fly ball to right field.0–2
1Spencer Steer singles on a fly ball to center fielder Victor Scott II. Tyler Stephenson scores. TJ Friedl to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
