Brewers at Reds
Last play · Ty France grounds out to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Reds0%
MIL 100%CIN 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 3 – 2 CIN
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 11.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Reds favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Willy Adames homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores. (inning 3) — -35% Brewers
9Jackson Chourio homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field.5–4
6Amed Rosario homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Dominic Smith scores.4–4
6Garrett Mitchell grounds out, shortstop Elly De La Cruz to first baseman Dominic Smith. Willy Adames scores. Blake Perkins to 3rd.4–2
5Spencer Steer singles on a line drive to left fielder Jackson Chourio. Will Benson scores. Noelvi Marte scores. Spencer Steer to 2nd.3–2
3Willy Adames homers (27) on a fly ball to right center field. Jackson Chourio scores. William Contreras scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
