Twins at Guardians
MIN4–
CLE11Last play · Alex Kirilloff strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 0 – 7 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · José Ramírez homers (11) on a fly ball to right field. Tyler Freeman scores. (inning 1) — +17% Guardians
9Kyle Farmer doubles (7) on a line drive to left fielder Estevan Florial. Byron Buxton scores. Carlos Santana scores.4–11
9Carlos Santana singles on a ground ball to right fielder Will Brennan. Jose Miranda scores. Byron Buxton to 3rd. Carlos Santana to 2nd. Fielding error by right fielder Will Brennan.2–11
9Byron Buxton singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Willi Castro scores. Jose Miranda to 2nd.1–11
7Andrés Giménez singles on a fly ball to center fielder Byron Buxton. Brayan Rocchio scores. Tyler Freeman scores.0–11
7Tyler Freeman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Willi Castro. David Fry scores. Bo Naylor scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Tyler Freeman to 2nd. Fielding error by left fielder Willi Castro.0–9
5Kyle Manzardo doubles (2) on a line drive to left fielder Willi Castro. Will Brennan scores.0–7
5Will Brennan singles on a line drive to center fielder Byron Buxton. David Fry scores.0–6
4Tyler Freeman doubles (7) on a fly ball to left fielder Willi Castro. Brayan Rocchio scores.0–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.