Twins at Guardians

Scoreboard

MIN2–CLE3

Final

OverviewPitchingBattingBox Score

Line score

Progressive Field · MIN 24-20 · CLE 28-17

Inn	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
MIN	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	4	1
CLE	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	·	3	7	1

Last play · Carlos Santana grounds out, shortstop Gabriel Arias to first baseman Josh Naylor.

Win probability

Guardians100%

MIN 0%CLE 100%

First 5 (F5)

final

MIN 1 – 0 CLE

Twins led after 5

The book's line

ESPN BET · prices only

Total runs

8.5

opened 8.5

fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%

Run line

-1.5

Moneyline

reference

+105 / -125

Win probability timeline

home WP · dots = scoring plays

Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓

Biggest swing · David Fry homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 6) — +34% Guardians

Scoring plays

MIN–CLE · 4 total

8José Ramírez homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.2–3

8Kyle Farmer doubles (6) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Austin Martin scores.2–2

6David Fry homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. Josh Naylor scores.1–2

3Alex Kirilloff homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.