Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Estevan Florial flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 8 – 7 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andy Ibáñez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Javier Báez scores. Carson Kelly scores. (inning 2) — -33% Tigers
8Matt Vierling singles on a line drive to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Andy Ibáñez scores. Wenceel Pérez scores.11–7
7Ryan Vilade singles on a ground ball to left fielder Estevan Florial. Jake Rogers scores.9–7
4Matt Vierling grounds into a double play, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Andrés Giménez to first baseman Josh Naylor. Andy Ibáñez scores. Wenceel Pérez out at 2nd. Matt Vierling out at 1st.8–7
3Ryan Vilade singles on a line drive to left fielder Estevan Florial. Riley Greene scores. Spencer Torkelson scores.7–7
2Josh Naylor homers (9) on a fly ball to right field. José Ramírez scores.5–7
2José Ramírez singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Brayan Rocchio scores. Estevan Florial scores.5–5
2Estevan Florial doubles (4) on a line drive to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Bo Naylor scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd.5–3
2Andy Ibáñez homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Javier Báez scores. Carson Kelly scores.5–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








