Mets at Guardians
Last play · Brett Baty grounds out to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Guardians100%
NYM 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Guardians favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · David Fry singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 1) — +17% Guardians
4Kyle Manzardo doubles (3) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Harrison Bader. David Fry scores.1–3
3Tomás Nido homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1David Fry singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
