Twins at Guardians
Last play · Will Brennan homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Andrés Giménez scores. Josh Naylor scores.
Win probability
Guardians100%
MIN 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 1 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Guardians favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Kirilloff reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Emmanuel Clase, assist to first baseman Josh Naylor. Byron Buxton scores. Willi Castro to 2nd. (inning 9) — -38% Twins
9Will Brennan homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Andrés Giménez scores. Josh Naylor scores.2–5
9Alex Kirilloff reaches on a missed catch error by pitcher Emmanuel Clase, assist to first baseman Josh Naylor. Byron Buxton scores. Willi Castro to 2nd.2–2
3Jose Miranda homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
1Andrés Giménez homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Tyler Freeman scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
