Nationals at Guardians
Last play · Eddie Rosario strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
WSH 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+200 / -240
Guardians favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eddie Rosario doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Arias. Luis García Jr. scores. (inning 7) — -14% Nationals
8Steven Kwan singles on a fly ball to second baseman Luis García Jr. , deflected by right fielder Lane Thomas. Brayan Rocchio scores.1–7
7David Fry homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Tyler Freeman scores. Josh Naylor scores.1–6
7Josh Naylor grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Senzel to second baseman Luis García Jr. Steven Kwan scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd. José Ramírez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor to 1st.1–3
7Eddie Rosario doubles (7) on a line drive to right fielder Gabriel Arias. Luis García Jr. scores.1–2
3José Ramírez grounds out, third baseman Nick Senzel to first baseman Joey Gallo. Steven Kwan scores.0–2
3Tyler Freeman singles on a ground ball to shortstop CJ Abrams, deflected by third baseman Nick Senzel. Brayan Rocchio scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Tyler Freeman to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
