Mets at Guardians
NYM6–
CLE7Last play · Mets challenged (play at 1st), call on the field was upheld: Pete Alonso grounds into a double play, first baseman Josh Naylor to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to pitcher Emmanuel Clase. Francisco Lindor out at 2nd. Pete Alonso out at 1st.
Win probability
Guardians100%
NYM 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 2 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeff McNeil homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Mark Vientos scores. (inning 6) — -22% Mets
8Starling Marte homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. DJ Stewart scores.6–7
6David Fry homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Will Brennan scores.4–7
6Jeff McNeil homers (2) on a fly ball to right center field. Mark Vientos scores.4–5
5José Ramírez homers (12) on a fly ball to right center field. Tyler Freeman scores.2–5
5Francisco Lindor singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Will Brennan. Jeff McNeil scores. Tomás Nido to 2nd.2–3
5Mark Vientos homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3José Ramírez doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Starling Marte. Tyler Freeman scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. José Ramírez advances to 3rd, on a fielding error by right fielder Starling Marte.0–3
3Tyler Freeman doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. Brayan Rocchio scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.