Royals at Guardians
Last play · José Ramírez grounds out, second baseman Nick Loftin to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino.
Win probability
Guardians0%
KC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 1 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+145 / -170
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Isbel singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Adam Frazier scores. (inning 8) — -26% Royals
8Kyle Isbel singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Adam Frazier scores.4–3
6Royals challenged (home-plate collision), call on the field was upheld: Royals challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Kyle Isbel reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by first baseman Josh Naylor. MJ Melendez scores. Hunter Renfroe to 3rd.3–3
6Hunter Renfroe doubles (9) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Freddy Fermin scores. MJ Melendez to 3rd.2–3
4José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Garrett Hampson. Steven Kwan scores. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.1–3
3José Ramírez homers (17) on a line drive to right field.1–2
1Josh Naylor grounds out, shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. to first baseman Vinnie Pasquantino. Steven Kwan scores. Andrés Giménez to 3rd. José Ramírez to 2nd.1–1
1Vinnie Pasquantino doubles (16) on a line drive to right fielder Will Brennan. Maikel Garcia scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














