Nationals at Guardians
Last play · Jesse Winker grounds out, second baseman Gabriel Arias to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Guardians100%
WSH 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 2 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Manzardo singles on a pop up to third baseman Nick Senzel. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores. David Fry to 3rd. (inning 1) — +17% Guardians
4Jesse Winker singles on a fly ball to left fielder David Fry. Luis García Jr. scores.2–3
4Joey Meneses grounds out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to first baseman Josh Naylor. Lane Thomas scores. Luis García Jr. to 3rd.1–3
3Johnathan Rodriguez walks.0–3
1Kyle Manzardo singles on a pop up to third baseman Nick Senzel. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores. David Fry to 3rd.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
