Royals at Guardians
Last play · Josh Naylor pops out to third baseman Maikel Garcia.
Win probability
Guardians0%
KC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 2 CLE
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: MJ Melendez homers (17) on a line drive to right field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 4) — -38% Royals
8Bobby Witt Jr. homers (27) on a fly ball to left center field.4–3
7Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Adam Frazier. José Ramírez scores.3–3
4Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was overturned: MJ Melendez homers (17) on a line drive to right field. Vinnie Pasquantino scores. Salvador Perez scores.3–2
2José Ramírez flies out to left fielder MJ Melendez.0–2
2Steven Kwan walks. Jhonkensy Noel scores. Tyler Freeman to 3rd. Austin Hedges to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
