Mariners at Guardians
Last play · Luke Raley strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
SEA 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 3 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Andrés Giménez homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores. (inning 5) — +30% Guardians
8Will Brennan homers (8) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
5Josh Naylor doubles (10) on a line drive to right fielder Mitch Haniger. José Ramírez scores.3–5
5Andrés Giménez homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores.3–4
4Ryan Bliss doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Ty France scores. Victor Robles to 3rd.3–2
2Will Brennan homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.2–2
1Josh Naylor grounds into a double play, first baseman Tyler Locklear to shortstop J. P. Crawford. Steven Kwan scores. Andrés Giménez out at 2nd. Josh Naylor out at 1st.2–1
1Dylan Moore homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. J.P. Crawford scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














