Mariners at Guardians
Last play · Cal Raleigh grounds out, shortstop Daniel Schneemann to first baseman Josh Naylor.
Win probability
Guardians100%
SEA 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 0 – 6 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Guardians favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Steven Kwan homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores. (inning 2) — +16% Guardians
7Josh Naylor homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.0–8
6Bo Naylor singles on a ground ball to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Daniel Schneemann scores.0–7
5Josh Naylor homers (18) on a fly ball to right field. José Ramírez scores.0–6
5José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to second baseman Ryan Bliss. Andrés Giménez scores.0–4
2Steven Kwan homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Bo Naylor scores.0–3
1Josh Naylor singles on a line drive to right fielder Dominic Canzone. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














