Blue Jays at Guardians
Last play · Ernie Clement strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TOR 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 2 – 5 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Guardians favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bo Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Will Brennan scores. (inning 2) — +25% Guardians
8Isiah Kiner-Falefa homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
6Daniel Schneemann homers (2) on a line drive to right center field.2–6
5Steven Kwan homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.2–5
3José Ramírez homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Andrés Giménez scores.2–4
3Isiah Kiner-Falefa homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–2
2Bo Naylor homers (4) on a fly ball to center field. Will Brennan scores.1–2
2Davis Schneider homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














