Blue Jays at Guardians
TOR5–
CLE6Last play · George Springer grounds into a force out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Daniel Schneemann. Justin Turner out at 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TOR 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 5 – 6 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Guardians favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Spencer Horwitz scores. (inning 1) — -22% Blue Jays
5Addison Barger singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Johnathan Rodriguez. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Justin Turner to 2nd.5–6
5Spencer Horwitz homers (2) on a fly ball to center field.4–6
4Josh Naylor homers (20) on a fly ball to right center field.3–6
4Steven Kwan homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field.3–5
3Brayan Rocchio grounds into a double play, shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa to second baseman Spencer Horwitz to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Bo Naylor scores. Daniel Schneemann to 3rd. Johnathan Rodriguez out at 2nd. Brayan Rocchio out at 1st.3–4
3Johnathan Rodriguez walks. Josh Naylor scores. Bo Naylor to 3rd. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.3–3
3Daniel Schneemann singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor to 3rd. Bo Naylor to 2nd.3–2
3Spencer Horwitz homers (1) on a fly ball to right field.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.