Padres at Guardians
Last play · Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
SD 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 0 – 1 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Guardians favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daniel Schneemann doubles (6) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. David Fry scores. (inning 5) — +15% Guardians
8Tyler Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder David Peralta. David Fry scores.0–7
8Brayan Rocchio singles on a line drive to right fielder David Peralta. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores. David Fry to 3rd.0–6
8David Fry walks. Angel Martínez scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. Josh Naylor to 2nd.0–4
8José Ramírez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Bo Naylor scores. Steven Kwan scores. Angel Martínez to 2nd.0–3
5Daniel Schneemann doubles (6) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. David Fry scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














