Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Jake Rogers flies out to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 2 – 3 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Wenceel Pérez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Mark Canha scores. (inning 4) — -26% Tigers
7Colt Keith pops out to third baseman José Ramírez.4–5
7Jake Rogers out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Gio Urshela scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd.3–5
6José Ramírez singles on a line drive to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Daniel Schneemann scores. José Ramírez to 2nd.2–5
6Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Matt Vierling. Tyler Freeman scores.2–4
5José Ramírez homers (24) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
4Jhonkensy Noel homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.2–2
4Wenceel Pérez homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Mark Canha scores.2–1
3Steven Kwan homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














