Padres at Guardians
Last play · Will Brennan flies out to right fielder Bryce Johnson.
Win probability
Guardians0%
SD 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 0 CLE
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Guardians favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luis Campusano singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jackson Merrill scores. David Peralta to 3rd. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd. (inning 4) — -14% Padres
8Jake Cronenworth homers (14) on a fly ball to right field. Luis Campusano scores.7–0
8Luis Campusano singles on a ground ball to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Ha-Seong Kim scores.5–0
8David Peralta homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–0
4Jake Cronenworth hit by pitch. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Luis Campusano to 3rd. Luis Arraez to 2nd.3–0
4Luis Arraez walks. David Peralta scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 3rd. Luis Campusano to 2nd.2–0
4Luis Campusano singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jackson Merrill scores. David Peralta to 3rd. Ha-Seong Kim to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














