Tigers at Guardians
Last play · David Fry strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
DET 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 4 – 1 CLE
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.2% · hold 3.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Vierling scores. (inning 1) — -22% Tigers
9José Ramírez grounds into a force out, shortstop Javier Báez to second baseman Colt Keith. Austin Hedges scores. Steven Kwan to 3rd. Angel Martínez out at 2nd. José Ramírez to 1st.8–2
9Colt Keith homers (10) on a fly ball to right field.8–1
8Gio Urshela out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel. Wenceel Pérez scores.7–1
6Gio Urshela out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Wenceel Pérez scores.6–1
6Wenceel Pérez doubles (13) on a fly ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Mark Canha scores. Wenceel Pérez to 3rd.5–1
2Austin Hedges singles on a bunt ground ball to third baseman Matt Vierling. David Fry scores. Jhonkensy Noel to 3rd. Tyler Freeman to 2nd.4–1
2Guardians challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Jake Rogers triples (1) on a line drive to center fielder Angel Martínez. Wenceel Pérez scores. Jake Rogers scores. Throwing error by center fielder Angel Martínez.4–0
1Justyn-Henry Malloy homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Matt Vierling scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














