Tigers at Guardians
Last play · Matt Vierling grounds into a force out, shortstop Brayan Rocchio to second baseman Andrés Giménez. Colt Keith out at 2nd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
DET 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalDET 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 55.3% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Guardians favored ↑50%Tigers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling, deflected by second baseman Colt Keith. Bo Naylor scores. José Ramírez to 3rd. (inning 8) — +29% Guardians
8Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to center fielder Matt Vierling, deflected by second baseman Colt Keith. Bo Naylor scores. José Ramírez to 3rd.1–2
5Steven Kwan singles on a line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Bo Naylor scores.1–1
1Matt Vierling homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














