Padres at Guardians
Last play · José Ramírez lines out sharply to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
Win probability
Guardians0%
SD 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 2 – 0 CLE
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Guardians favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jackson Merrill scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores. (inning 2) — -25% Padres
7Josh Naylor grounds out, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Luis Arraez. Angel Martínez scores.2–1
2Kyle Higashioka doubles (4) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Jackson Merrill scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














