Orioles at Guardians
Last play · José Ramírez grounds out, first baseman Ryan Mountcastle to pitcher Seranthony Domínguez.
Win probability
Guardians0%
BAL 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 6 – 5 CLE
Orioles led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Guardians favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — +33% Guardians
8Adley Rutschman singles on a ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Anthony Santander scores.9–5
6Adley Rutschman doubles (14) on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Gunnar Henderson scores. Ryan Mountcastle to 3rd.8–5
6Ryan Mountcastle singles on a fly ball to center fielder Tyler Freeman. Colton Cowser scores. Gunnar Henderson to 3rd.7–5
5Josh Naylor homers (24) on a fly ball to center field. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores.6–5
4Gunnar Henderson homers (29) on a line drive to right center field. Colton Cowser scores.6–2
4Jackson Holliday homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
3José Ramírez singles on a line drive to pitcher Corbin Burnes. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez to 2nd. Throwing error by pitcher Corbin Burnes.3–2
3Steven Kwan singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Daniel Schneemann scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
