Orioles at Guardians
Last play · Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
BAL 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBAL 1 – 4 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Guardians favored ↑50%Orioles favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor doubles (18) on a fly ball to third baseman Coby Mayo, deflected by left fielder Colton Cowser. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores. (inning 5) — +17% Guardians
7Anthony Santander out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Angel Martínez. Jackson Holliday scores.4–8
7Colton Cowser singles on a ground ball to center fielder Angel Martínez. Coby Mayo scores. Jackson Holliday to 3rd.3–8
7Jackson Holliday singles on a ground ball to left fielder Steven Kwan. Cedric Mullins scores. Coby Mayo to 2nd.2–8
6José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Cedric Mullins. Brayan Rocchio scores. Austin Hedges scores.1–8
6Steven Kwan walks. Angel Martínez scores. Brayan Rocchio to 3rd. Austin Hedges to 2nd.1–6
6Austin Hedges singles on a ground ball to left fielder Colton Cowser. Andrés Giménez scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.1–5
5Josh Naylor doubles (18) on a fly ball to third baseman Coby Mayo, deflected by left fielder Colton Cowser. Steven Kwan scores. José Ramírez scores.1–4
2Austin Hedges out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Anthony Santander. David Fry scores. Angel Martínez to 3rd. Brayan Rocchio to 2nd.1–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
