Cubs at Guardians
Last play · Pete Crow-Armstrong strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CHC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 7 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-125 / +105
Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jhonkensy Noel homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores. (inning 4) — +40% Guardians
8Josh Naylor singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. José Ramírez scores. Will Brennan to 2nd.8–9
8Seiya Suzuki out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Lane Thomas. Ian Happ scores. Patrick Wisdom to 3rd.8–8
7Dansby Swanson doubles (17) on a line drive to left fielder Steven Kwan. Seiya Suzuki scores. Isaac Paredes scores. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson to 3rd. Dansby Swanson advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Brayan Rocchio.7–8
7Nico Hoerner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Brayan Rocchio. Ian Happ scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd. Isaac Paredes to 2nd.4–8
6Jhonkensy Noel homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.3–8
5David Fry singles on a line drive to left fielder Ian Happ. José Ramírez scores. David Fry out at 2nd on the throw, left fielder Ian Happ to second baseman Nico Hoerner.3–7
5Steven Kwan homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. Austin Hedges scores.3–6
4Jhonkensy Noel homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. José Ramírez scores. Josh Naylor scores.3–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
