D-backs at Guardians
Last play · Lane Thomas strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians0%
AZ 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 4 – 2 CLE
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -110
Guardians favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Randal Grichuk homers (4) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 7) — -23% D-backs
7Randal Grichuk homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.5–3
6José Ramírez homers (30) on a fly ball to left field.4–3
4Angel Martínez out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Randal Grichuk. Josh Naylor scores.4–2
3Josh Bell homers (18) on a line drive to right field. Corbin Carroll scores.4–1
2David Fry homers (10) on a fly ball to center field.2–1
2Adrian Del Castillo doubles (1) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Angel Martínez. Eugenio Suárez scores.2–0
2Josh Bell homers (17) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
