Cubs at Guardians
Last play · Dansby Swanson reaches on a fielder's choice out, third baseman José Ramírez to second baseman Andrés Giménez to shortstop Brayan Rocchio to third baseman José Ramírez. Nico Hoerner out at 3rd.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CHC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 1 CLE
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jhonkensy Noel homers (9) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 6) — +19% Guardians
6Jhonkensy Noel homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
2Brayan Rocchio singles on a soft bunt ground ball to pitcher Javier Assad. Andrés Giménez scores. Jhonkensy Noel to 2nd.1–1
2Dansby Swanson out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel in foul territory. Nico Hoerner scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
