Cubs at Guardians
Last play · Nico Hoerner flies out to right fielder Jhonkensy Noel.
Win probability
Guardians100%
CHC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 4 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Guardians favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Josh Naylor doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. José Ramírez scores. (inning 4) — +16% Guardians
8Andrés Giménez doubles (18) on a line drive to center fielder Mike Tauchman. José Ramírez scores. Lane Thomas scores.1–6
5José Ramírez grounds out to first baseman Michael Busch. Will Brennan scores.1–4
5Will Brennan triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Steven Kwan scores.1–3
4Andrés Giménez singles on a line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. Josh Naylor scores.1–2
4Josh Naylor doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Seiya Suzuki. José Ramírez scores.1–1
4Cody Bellinger out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Steven Kwan. Seiya Suzuki scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
