Rangers at Guardians
Last play · Nathaniel Lowe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Guardians100%
TEX 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 1 – 2 CLE
Guardians led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Guardians favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jhonkensy Noel homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. (inning 2) — +15% Guardians
8David Fry homers (13) on a line drive to left center field.2–4
8Corey Seager homers (29) on a fly ball to left center field.2–3
7Austin Hedges pops out to second baseman Marcus Semien.1–3
5Jonah Heim doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Lane Thomas. Josh Jung scores.1–2
2Jhonkensy Noel homers (12) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
1José Ramírez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Wyatt Langford. Steven Kwan scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
