Royals at Guardians
Last play · David Fry pops out to second baseman Adam Frazier.
Win probability
Guardians0%
KC 100%CLE 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 2 – 1 CLE
Royals led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -160
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Paul DeJong homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 2) — -25% Royals
9Freddy Fermin singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Kyle Isbel scores.6–1
7Michael Massey singles on a ground ball to right fielder Lane Thomas. Maikel Garcia scores.5–1
7Kyle Isbel strikes out swinging.4–1
7Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to right fielder Lane Thomas. Garrett Hampson scores. Adam Frazier to 3rd.3–1
4Lane Thomas singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. David Fry scores. Daniel Schneemann to 2nd.2–1
2Paul DeJong homers (23) on a fly ball to right center field. Salvador Perez scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
