Royals at Guardians
Last play · Salvador Perez flies out to center fielder Daniel Schneemann.
Win probability
Guardians100%
KC 0%CLE 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 3 – 2 CLE
Royals led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -155
Guardians favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Will Brennan singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Andrés Giménez scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd. (inning 7) — +23% Guardians
8Andrés Giménez out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Adam Frazier. Lane Thomas scores.5–7
7Jhonkensy Noel singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Josh Naylor scores. Will Brennan to 2nd.5–6
7Will Brennan singles on a line drive to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Andrés Giménez scores. Josh Naylor to 2nd.5–5
7Josh Naylor singles on a fly ball to center fielder Kyle Isbel. Steven Kwan scores. Andrés Giménez to 2nd.5–4
7Bo Naylor homers (11) on a fly ball to right center field.5–3
6Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to center fielder Will Brennan. Paul DeJong scores. Kyle Isbel to 2nd.5–2
6Adam Frazier singles on a line drive to center fielder Will Brennan. MJ Melendez scores. Paul DeJong to 2nd.4–2
5Steven Kwan singles on a pop up to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr. Jhonkensy Noel scores.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
