Nationals at Rockies
Last play · Michael Toglia called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rockies0%
WSH 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 1 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Rockies favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Lane Thomas doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Sam Hilliard. CJ Abrams scores. (inning 9) — -38% Nationals
9Joey Meneses singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Lane Thomas scores.2–1
9Lane Thomas doubles (6) on a fly ball to right fielder Sam Hilliard. CJ Abrams scores.1–1
2Michael Toglia homers (7) on a fly ball to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














