Red Sox at Rockies
Last play · Ezequiel Tovar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jake Cave scores. Jacob Stallings to 3rd. Aaron Schunk to 2nd.
Win probability
Rockies100%
BOS 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalBOS 4 – 4 COL
Tied through 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Rockies favored ↑50%Red Sox favored ↓
Biggest swing · Sam Hilliard homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Jake Cave scores. (inning 10) — +62% Rockies
12Ezequiel Tovar singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jarren Duran. Jake Cave scores. Jacob Stallings to 3rd. Aaron Schunk to 2nd.8–9
12Jake Cave singles on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler O'Neill. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jake Cave to 2nd. Jake Cave advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Tyler O'Neill.8–8
12Wilyer Abreu singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Cave. Ceddanne Rafaela scores.8–7
10Sam Hilliard homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Jake Cave scores.7–7
10Rafael Devers out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Sam Hilliard. Wilyer Abreu scores.7–5
10Dominic Smith doubles (12) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jarren Duran scores.6–5
8Connor Wong homers (9) on a fly ball to right field.5–5
7Jacob Stallings doubles (10) on a fly ball to right fielder Tyler O'Neill. Brendan Rodgers scores.4–5
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














