Padres at Rockies
Last play · Manny Machado grounds out to first baseman Michael Toglia.
Win probability
Rockies100%
SD 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 3 – 6 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-200 / +165
Rockies favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brendan Rodgers homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Brenton Doyle scores. Ryan McMahon scores. (inning 1) — +15% Rockies
6Jordan Beck singles on a fly ball to right fielder David Peralta. Michael Toglia scores.3–7
4Xander Bogaerts homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.3–6
2Charlie Blackmon homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Jordan Beck scores.2–6
2Ha-Seong Kim homers (11) on a fly ball to left field. David Peralta scores.2–4
1Brendan Rodgers homers (10) on a fly ball to left field. Brenton Doyle scores. Ryan McMahon scores.0–4
1Ryan McMahon singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Ezequiel Tovar scores. Brenton Doyle to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
