Marlins at Rockies
Last play · Connor Norby strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Rockies100%
MIA 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 2 COL
Tied through 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -150
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Nick Fortes scores. Connor Norby scores. Jake Burger to 2nd. (inning 5) — -27% Marlins
6Ryan McMahon homers (17) on a fly ball to center field.2–3
5Jake Cave singles on a line drive to left fielder Kyle Stowers. Jordan Beck scores. Jake Cave to 2nd.2–2
5Aaron Schunk grounds out, second baseman Otto Lopez to first baseman Jake Burger. Sam Hilliard scores. Jordan Beck to 2nd.2–1
5Jesús Sánchez singles on a line drive to left fielder Jordan Beck. Nick Fortes scores. Connor Norby scores. Jake Burger to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
