Marlins at Rockies
Last play · Jesús Sánchez grounds out, first baseman Michael Toglia to pitcher Anthony Molina.
Win probability
Rockies100%
MIA 0%COL 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 3 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
11.5
opened 11.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Derek Hill homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 2) — -20% Marlins
8Ezequiel Tovar doubles (39) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Derek Hill, deflected by right fielder Griffin Conine. Nolan Jones scores. Drew Romo scores.2–8
6Drew Romo reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by shortstop Otto Lopez. Michael Toglia scores. Nolan Jones scores. Throwing error by shortstop Otto Lopez.2–6
6Nolan Jones singles on a ground ball to center fielder Cristian Pache. Brenton Doyle scores. Michael Toglia to 3rd. Nolan Jones to 2nd.2–4
5Aaron Schunk homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
4Griffin Conine singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brenton Doyle. Jonah Bride scores. Otto Lopez to 2nd.2–2
3Aaron Schunk walks.1–2
2Nolan Jones singles on a ground ball to right fielder Griffin Conine. Brenton Doyle scores.1–1
2Derek Hill homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
