Marlins at Rockies
Last play · Ryan McMahon called out on strikes.
Win probability
Rockies0%
MIA 100%COL 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 6 COL
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
10.5
opened 10.5
fair over 54.7% · hold 5.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Rockies favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jesús Sánchez homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Connor Norby scores. Derek Hill scores. (inning 9) — -78% Marlins
9Jesús Sánchez homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Connor Norby scores. Derek Hill scores.9–8
9Jake Burger doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Sam Hilliard. Griffin Conine scores. David Hensley scores. Connor Norby to 3rd.6–8
6Ezequiel Tovar out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Griffin Conine. Jordan Beck scores.4–8
6Sam Hilliard homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.4–7
6Ali Sánchez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Sam Hilliard. Griffin Conine scores.4–6
6Vidal Bruján grounds out to first baseman Michael Toglia. Kyle Stowers scores.3–6
4Kyle Stowers homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.2–6
3Jesús Sánchez doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Sam Hilliard. Connor Norby scores.1–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
