Astros at Tigers
Last play · Grae Kessinger strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
HOU 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 8 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+135 / -155
Tigers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Canha hits a grand slam (6) to left center field. Zach McKinstry scores. Jake Rogers scores. Riley Greene scores. (inning 2) — +25% Tigers
4Kerry Carpenter homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–8
4Yainer Diaz singles on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Alex Bregman scores. Jon Singleton to 2nd.2–7
4Alex Bregman singles on a fly ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Jeremy Peña scores.1–7
2Kerry Carpenter homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Wenceel Pérez scores.0–7
2Mark Canha hits a grand slam (6) to left center field. Zach McKinstry scores. Jake Rogers scores. Riley Greene scores.0–5
2Riley Greene walks. Colt Keith scores. Zach McKinstry to 3rd. Jake Rogers to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








