Astros at Tigers
Last play · Andy Ibáñez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
HOU 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-140 / +120
Tigers favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Kyle Tucker scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd. (inning 8) — -26% Astros
8Yainer Diaz out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Jon Singleton scores.5–2
8Alex Bregman reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Matt Vierling. Yordan Alvarez scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd. Alex Bregman to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Matt Vierling.4–2
8Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Kyle Tucker scores. Yordan Alvarez to 2nd.3–2
8Yordan Alvarez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade. Jose Altuve scores. Kyle Tucker to 3rd.2–2
6Kyle Tucker homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.1–2
3Matt Vierling doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Jake Rogers scores. Andy Ibáñez scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








