Cardinals at Tigers
Last play · Alec Burleson strikes out on a foul tip.
Win probability
Tigers100%
STL 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSTL 1 – 3 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 7.5 ↑
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Tigers favored ↑50%Cardinals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Vierling homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Kerry Carpenter scores. (inning 3) — +17% Tigers
8Matt Vierling out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Alec Burleson. Wenceel Pérez scores.1–4
4Willson Contreras homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.1–3
3Matt Vierling homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field. Kerry Carpenter scores.0–3
2Colt Keith doubles (2) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Lars Nootbaar. Matt Vierling scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








