Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Danny Jansen grounds out, third baseman Matt Vierling to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
Win probability
Tigers100%
TOR 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 6 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Colt Keith homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field. (inning 2) — +10% Tigers
9Alejandro Kirk singles on a ground ball to center fielder Wenceel Pérez, deflected by shortstop Zach McKinstry. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Davis Schneider to 3rd.2–6
9Davis Schneider singles on a line drive to center fielder Wenceel Pérez. Ernie Clement scores. Isiah Kiner-Falefa to 3rd.1–6
5Kerry Carpenter homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Mark Canha scores.0–6
4Zach McKinstry grounds out, second baseman Cavan Biggio to pitcher Alek Manoah. Kerry Carpenter scores. Matt Vierling to 3rd. Colt Keith to 2nd.0–4
4Colt Keith hit by pitch. Mark Canha scores. Kerry Carpenter to 3rd. Matt Vierling to 2nd.0–3
4Matt Vierling hits a sacrifice fly. Fielding error by center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Riley Greene scores. Mark Canha to 3rd. Kerry Carpenter to 2nd. Matt Vierling to 1st.0–2
2Colt Keith homers (1) on a fly ball to right center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
