Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Kerry Carpenter grounds out, first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to pitcher Tim Mayza.
Win probability
Tigers0%
TOR 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 1 – 0 DET
Blue Jays led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Daulton Varsho homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Cavan Biggio scores. (inning 7) — -31% Blue Jays
9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. homers (5) on a fly ball to center field. Danny Jansen scores.9–1
9Danny Jansen doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder Matt Vierling. Kevin Kiermaier scores.7–1
8George Springer out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kerry Carpenter. Bo Bichette scores.6–1
8Justin Turner singles on a ground ball to left fielder Matt Vierling. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. scores. Bo Bichette to 3rd.5–1
8Bo Bichette singles on a line drive to left fielder Matt Vierling. Danny Jansen scores. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to 3rd.4–1
7Daulton Varsho homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Cavan Biggio scores.3–1
6Wenceel Pérez singles on a ground ball to center fielder Kevin Kiermaier. Javier Báez scores. Carson Kelly out at home on the throw, center fielder Kevin Kiermaier to catcher Danny Jansen.1–1
3Isiah Kiner-Falefa homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
