Marlins at Tigers
Last play · Riley Greene strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers0%
MIA 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 0 DET
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -170
Tigers favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryan De La Cruz homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores. (inning 1) — -22% Marlins
1Bryan De La Cruz homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Jazz Chisholm Jr. scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








