Blue Jays at Tigers
Last play · Danny Jansen strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
TOR 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTOR 0 – 2 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Tigers favored ↑50%Blue Jays favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kerry Carpenter homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Mark Canha scores. (inning 1) — +17% Tigers
7Davis Schneider doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Riley Greene. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Ernie Clement to 3rd.1–2
1Kerry Carpenter homers (8) on a fly ball to right field. Mark Canha scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
