Pirates at Tigers
Last play · Grant Koch strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Tigers100%
PIT 0%DET 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalPIT 0 – 7 DET
Tigers led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 7.5 ↓
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Tigers favored ↑50%Pirates favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mark Canha out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Edward Olivares. Matt Vierling scores. (inning 1) — +9% Tigers
6Jake Rogers singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Javier Báez scores.0–8
5Gio Urshela singles on a ground ball to right fielder Edward Olivares. Riley Greene scores. Mark Canha to 3rd.0–7
5Matt Vierling homers (6) on a fly ball to left field. Jake Rogers scores. Wenceel Pérez scores.0–6
1Colt Keith grounds into a force out, second baseman Nick Gonzales to shortstop Alika Williams. Riley Greene scores. Gio Urshela out at 2nd. Colt Keith to 1st.0–3
1Mark Canha out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Edward Olivares. Matt Vierling scores.0–2
1Matt Vierling singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Wenceel Pérez scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
