Phillies at Tigers
Last play · Gio Urshela lines out to center fielder Cristian Pache.
Win probability
Tigers0%
PHI 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 4 – 1 DET
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-185 / +155
Tigers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bryce Harper doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner scores. (inning 1) — -22% Phillies
8Alec Bohm doubles (28) on a line drive to left fielder Riley Greene. Bryce Harper scores.8–1
6Bryce Harper homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Cristian Pache scores. Kyle Schwarber scores.7–1
5Carson Kelly singles on a ground ball to center fielder Brandon Marsh. Zach McKinstry scores.4–1
1Alec Bohm homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryce Harper scores.4–0
1Bryce Harper doubles (17) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Matt Vierling. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














