Phillies at Tigers
Last play · Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging, catcher Garrett Stubbs to first baseman Bryce Harper.
Win probability
Tigers0%
PHI 100%DET 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalPHI 5 – 1 DET
Phillies led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-170 / +140
Tigers favored ↑50%Phillies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Brandon Marsh homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryson Stott scores. (inning 4) — -26% Phillies
9Andy Ibáñez singles on a line drive to left fielder David Dahl. Matt Vierling scores.6–2
8David Dahl out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Akil Baddoo. Bryson Stott scores.6–1
5Brandon Marsh singles on a line drive to center fielder Riley Greene. Nick Castellanos scores. Bryson Stott scores.5–1
4Brandon Marsh homers (7) on a fly ball to left center field. Bryson Stott scores.3–1
1Matt Vierling homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
1Nick Castellanos grounds out, shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Mark Canha. Kyle Schwarber scores. Trea Turner to 3rd. Bryce Harper to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














